Islamic NATO or a New Regional Military Alliance?
Who Is It Really Designed to Defend?
By Dr Shabir Choudhry, London, 9 August 2026
For more than a decade, there has been talk of creating a Muslim military alliance—an "Islamic NATO"—that would supposedly unite Muslim countries against external aggression and provide collective security to the Muslim world.
The idea received considerable attention in 2015–16, when Saudi Arabia announced the creation of a broad Islamic military alliance. Pakistan became an important component of this initiative, and former Pakistan Army Chief General Raheel Sharif subsequently became commander of the Islamic Military Counter Terrorism Coalition.
The announcement created enormous expectations. Many ordinary Muslims naturally asked a simple question:
If Muslim countries are being attacked, who will defend them? That question remains relevant today.
What happened to the Islamic NATO?
The stated purpose of the Saudi-led initiative was to strengthen cooperation among Muslim countries against terrorism and security threats. But more than a decade later, what has this arrangement actually achieved?
· Have these Muslim military alliances protected Syria?
· Have they protected Lebanon?
· Have they protected Palestine?
· Have they protected Yemen?
· Have they protected other Muslim populations suffering from war, occupation or foreign intervention?
· The answer is difficult to identify in any meaningful sense.
This raises a fundamental question:
Was the objective really to defend Muslim countries?
Or was the objective narrower—to protect the security interests of particular governments and regimes? There is an important difference between the two.
A military alliance established in the name of the Muslim world should logically be concerned with the security and dignity of Muslim peoples generally. But if it is primarily designed to protect the strategic interests of particular states, then calling it an "Islamic NATO" can create expectations that the alliance may never fulfil.
General Raheel Sharif and the Islamic military alliance
Pakistan's former Army Chief, General Raheel Sharif, became commander of the Saudi-based Islamic Military Counter Terrorism Coalition. This was presented by many Pakistanis as a matter of great pride.
· Pakistan had produced the commander of a major multinational Muslim military organisation.
· But what was the organisation actually intended to do?
· Was it designed to confront Israel?
· Was it designed to protect Palestinians?
· Was it designed to protect Syria and Lebanon?
· Was it intended to confront Iran?
· Or was its primary purpose counter-terrorism and the protection of the participating governments?
· These questions deserve honest answers.
· Military alliances should be judged not by their names but by their actions.
The Saudi-Pakistan Defence Agreement
A major development occurred on 17 September 2025, when Saudi Arabia and Pakistan signed the Strategic Mutual Defence Agreement.
The agreement stated that aggression against one country would be regarded as aggression against both. Reuters reported that the pact represented a significant strengthening of the two countries' longstanding military relationship and potentially brought Pakistan's nuclear deterrent into the wider strategic calculations of the Gulf, although Pakistani officials stressed that nuclear weapons were not part of the agreement.
This immediately raised another question:
Who was this agreement intended to deter?
· It was certainly not presented as an agreement against Israel.
· Nor was it explicitly directed against Iran.
· Yet both Israel and Iran are central to the strategic calculations of the Middle East.
Pakistan was attacked. Where was Saudi Arabia?
There is an even more interesting question. Since the Saudi-Pakistan defence agreement was signed in September 2025, Pakistan has experienced further security attacks.
Did Saudi Arabia send its army to fight alongside Pakistan?
The answer, so far, is no.
This does not necessarily mean that the agreement is meaningless. Mutual-defence treaties do not always require immediate deployment of troops whenever one member experiences an attack. Their precise obligations depend upon the circumstances and the interpretation of the agreement.
But it does demonstrate something important:
A defence pact on paper and an operational military alliance are not necessarily the same thing.
The real test of such an alliance comes when one member actually faces a serious external military threat.
And then came the Makkah Agreement
Now, in August 2026, we have a new and potentially more significant development.
On 7 August 2026, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Turkey signed the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
The agreement states that an armed attack against one of the three countries will be regarded as an attack against all three. Turkey's Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan subsequently described the arrangement as technically comparable to NATO's Article 5 principle.
However, he also stressed that the agreement was not directed against Iran or any other particular country. The agreement is described as defensive, and its operational details are still to be worked out.
This is an important qualification. We should therefore not prematurely declare that the alliance has been created to fight Iran, Israel or the Houthis. But we are entitled to ask:
Who is most likely to be affected by this new security arrangement?
Iran? Iran is an obvious possibility.
The regional security environment has deteriorated dramatically. Saudi Arabia has serious security concerns regarding Iranian military capabilities and the activities of Iranian-aligned forces.
In 2026, Iran has also launched attacks affecting Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states, making the question of collective regional defence much more immediate than it was when the Saudi-Pakistan agreement was signed in 2025.
Yet Turkey, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia have been careful not to describe the new alliance as an anti-Iran alliance. That may be true. It may also be strategic diplomacy.
There is a considerable difference between saying publicly that an alliance is "not directed against Iran" and designing an alliance whose principal strategic concern happens to be the Iranian military threat.
The Houthis?
The second possibility is Yemen's Houthi movement.
The Houthis have developed into an important regional military actor. Since 2023, they have launched attacks against Israel and ships in the Red Sea, presenting their actions as support for the Palestinians. They are also closely aligned with Iran, although they retain their own Yemeni political and strategic objectives.
Saudi Arabia has its own long and painful history with the Houthis. The Saudi-led coalition intervened in Yemen in 2015 against the Houthis and their allies. Although Saudi Arabia largely ceased active hostilities in 2022, the Houthi threat has never completely disappeared.
Indeed, the timing of the new Makkah agreement is striking. Only days after the agreement was signed, Houthi forces attacked a Saudi Aramco facility in Jazan with a drone. Reuters reported that the Houthis claimed responsibility for the attack.
The Houthi attack does not prove that the Makkah agreement was established specifically to fight the Houthis. But it demonstrates why the Houthi question cannot be ignored when discussing Saudi Arabia's security calculations.
What about Israel?
This is perhaps the most sensitive question. If the alliance is genuinely a collective Muslim defence arrangement, why is Israel not openly identified as a potential threat?
The answer may lie in political and strategic realities. Turkey and Pakistan have strong political positions concerning Palestine, while Saudi Arabia has its own complicated relationship with Israel and the United States.
An explicit anti-Israel military alliance would have enormous geopolitical consequences. It could also make it much more difficult for Saudi Arabia to maintain its relationships with the United States and other Western powers.
Therefore, it would be premature to conclude that this alliance is designed to fight Israel. But equally, it would be naive to assume that Israel is completely absent from the strategic calculations of the three countries.
NATO Article 5—and the important difference
The comparison with NATO is attractive but must be treated carefully. NATO's Article 5 establishes the principle that an armed attack against one member is considered an attack against all.
The new Makkah agreement adopts a similar principle. But NATO has spent decades developing integrated military structures, command arrangements, intelligence cooperation, logistics, planning mechanisms and established procedures for collective defence.
The Saudi-Turkish-Pakistani arrangement is much newer. Its precise operational mechanisms have yet to be developed, and this can take many years before it is fully active.
Turkey's Foreign Minister himself said that the three countries would establish ministerial and institutional mechanisms and determine the operational details later.
Therefore, calling it an "Islamic NATO" may be politically attractive, but it is not yet equivalent to NATO in institutional or military terms.
The real test
The real test will come when one of the members faces a major external attack. Suppose Saudi Arabia is attacked; the major question is:
· Will Pakistan send combat forces?
· Will Turkey send its air force or navy?
· Suppose Pakistan is attacked.
· Will Saudi Arabia deploy its armed forces?
· Will Turkey intervene?
· Suppose Turkey faces a major external attack.
· Will Pakistan and Saudi Arabia fight alongside Turkey?
They may look like academic questions, but they are the questions that determine whether a defence pact is a genuine security alliance or primarily a political declaration.
Who benefits?
There is another dimension that should not be ignored. Saudi Arabia possesses enormous financial resources.
Pakistan possesses a large, experienced military and is the only Muslim-majority nuclear-armed state.
Turkey possesses one of NATO's largest armies and a rapidly expanding defence industry.
That means each country, therefore, brings something different and important to the table, for example:
· Saudi Arabia brings financial power and strategic geography.
· Pakistan brings military manpower, experience and nuclear deterrence.
· Turkey brings military-industrial capacity, NATO experience and a powerful regional military.
Together, these capabilities could create a significant regional security structure. But, still, the question remains:
For what purpose? An Islamic alliance must answer an Islamic question
If these countries wish to call their alliance part of a broader Muslim security project, they should answer a very simple question:
Will the alliance defend Muslims because they are Muslims, or will it defend only the territory and strategic interests of its member governments? What will be the response of the alliance:
· If a Muslim country outside the alliance is attacked, what happens?
· If Palestinians are attacked, what happens?
· If Syria is attacked, what happens?
· If Lebanon is attacked, what happens?
· If another Muslim country is threatened, does the alliance intervene?
· Or does Article 5 stop at the borders of Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Turkey?
· That distinction is fundamental to understanding the nature of the alliance and its effectiveness.
From rhetoric to reality
For decades, Muslim governments have spoken about Muslim unity – unity of the Muslim Ummah, which never witnessed unity after the assassination of the third Caliph Hazrat Uthman, may Allah bless his soul.
There have been conferences, declarations, organisations and military alliances. But Muslim countries remain divided by political interests, competing regional ambitions, sectarian tensions and alliances with major external powers.
Sadly, the creation of another military alliance will not solve these problems by itself. If it is genuinely intended to provide collective security, it should be transparent about its objectives.
It should explain:
- What constitutes aggression?
- What military assistance is guaranteed?
- Who decides to intervene?
- What happens if members disagree?
- Is the alliance defensive only?
- What is its position regarding Israel?
- What is its position regarding Iran?
- What is its position regarding the Houthis?
- Will it defend non-member Muslim countries?
- What role, if any, will nuclear deterrence play?
Until these questions are answered, we should be cautious about grand descriptions such as Islamic NATO or even a Sunni NATO.
Conclusion
The idea of an Islamic military alliance has been discussed for many years. The first major Saudi-led initiative created enormous expectations. The appointment of a Pakistani general to lead a major Islamic military coalition was celebrated as a historic achievement. Yet history demands that we ask what these institutions actually achieved.
Now a new chapter has begun. Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Turkey have created a new mutual-defence framework in Makkah. It is potentially significant. It could develop into an important regional security organisation.
But its future will depend not on its name, religious symbolism or political speeches. It will depend on what happens when the first real test arrives. The crucial question is therefore not:
"Is this an Islamic NATO”.
The crucial question is: "Who will this alliance actually defend—and against whom?"
Only time, and perhaps the next regional crisis, will provide the answer.