Tuesday, 20 October 2015

PAKISTAN - Gang rapes and videos that circulate

PAKISTAN - Gang rapes and videos that circulate
  October 20, 2015
Rape is not merely an offence against the body; it is soul shattering. In a so-called Islamic state like Pakistan, rape is a punishable crime, with a zero conviction rate. The true intentions of the State and its people are exposed in a land where a rape occurs every two hours and a gang rape every eighth hour. The unavailability of justice is why we see victims attempting public self-immolation. No implementation of the law has resulted in rampant rape and further led to an indescribable social chaos, where the new normal is horrific.
In recent years, in gang rapes, the rapists have been filming the act, and have later been threatening the victim with dissemination of the video if he or she dares to report the crime. As there is no specific law to force websites to take down videos, and there is a lack of political will, victims are usually silenced, bowing to the demands of the rapists.
According to the Federal Investigation Agency that handles cyber crime offences, about 12 to 15 cases of private videos of a sexual nature are being uploaded a month by blackmailing gangs and the numbers appear to be increasing.

Such videos can go viral within minutes and get thousands of hits instantly. Gang rape victims, such as the Kasoor gang rape victims, find themselves isolated and hapless; they are treated like outcasts despite being victims of the worst form of abuse. The Kasoor rapes came to light following a land dispute. Though the gang has been actively indulging in blackmailing and extortion from victims and their family.
In jurisdictions with a more humane criminal justice system and sensitive society, the victim is protected. However, naming and shaming is practiced exclusively for the victim by the media in Pakistan; the offenders are the ones that usually get immunity and anonymity. Media ethics for reporting sex crimes is unknown in the nascent electronic media in Pakistan.
Mukhtara Mai became the face of Pakistan when she was gang raped at the orders of a panchayat; sadly her ordeal only began after the gang rape. The apathy of the Judiciary in her case and the poor prosecution, coupled with patriarchal mindset of the society, defeated justice and her perpetrators went scot-free.
Recently BBC News reported the case of a teenage girl from rural Punjab who was subjected to gang rape and then the rapist had posted video of the crime on social media. The video showed her being raped by four men, one by one, while she pleaded for mercy. It spread rapidly through the towns and villages of Punjab. The video was circulated freely while Pakistan Telecommunication Authority (PTA) did nothing to take down the video. This is the same PTA that had blocked YouTube in Pakistan for the past two years.
A case was recently reported to Tehrik-e-Niswan, an NGO working for women victims of domestic abuse and rape in Pakistan. A girl has reported being gang raped by three men. The girl is a resident of Mohallah Chananpura, Tehsil Sillanwali, District Sargodha, Punjab. She was tricked by local women named Safia Bibi (who is the wife of Muhammad Aslam) and Bakh Bhari to visit their house for the recitation of Quran. The girl was given a cold drink laced with sedative. She fell unconscious. Three men raped her and filmed the crime. The victim is now being threatened to remain silent or her video will be circulated. The girl reports that the two women are banking on the video by blackmailing the girls of her locality. Many girls fear telling their parents about the incident.

Sadly the incidents of gang rape are skyrocketing in Pakistan. The victims fear for their dignity and family would rather not approach the concerned authorities. Many a times, the police are hand in glove with the perpetrators. And now, amidst a new wave of rape viral videos, it is next to impossible for the victim to complain, let alone seek justice. The victim’s image is so tarnished by the time the rape comes to light that her own loved one often refuse to believe that the victim was innocent.
Rape and sexual violence is a sad reality for women and children in Pakistan. The number of women in Pakistan, who are molested by teachers when young, sexually harassed co-workers at work, and abused by husbands at home, is too large. Thousands of women suffer the same fate each day, yet they dare not speak up, because the society will label them as “loose” or amorous women. A plethora of women centric laws has done little to protect women from sexual abuse because despite the change in law the society has itself not changed. It is time the Pakistani politicians and the society look within and weed out the factions that are abusing our daughters and sisters.


Saturday, 17 October 2015

J and K High Court saves Article 370 but the battle is far from over

J and K High Court saves Article 370 but the battle is far from over

|14 October 2015
On 9 October, a Division Bench of the Jammu and Kashmir High Court ruled that Article 370 has assumed place of permanence in the Constitution of India and that the feature is "beyond amendment, repeal or abrogation". This should have put an end to the debate surrounding Article 370. But those demanding its repeal haven't given up.
What the order says
The Jammu and Kashmir Constituent Assembly was formed to draft the Constitution of the state determine "the sphere of the Union's jurisdiction over the state".
It had the power to recommend to the President that Article 370 must cease to apply or that it must continue with modifications.
But since the Constituent Assembly made no such recommendation before it was dissolved on 25 January, 1957, Article 370 became a permanent provision of the Constitution, even though it was supposed to be a "temporary provision"
Many see the RSS-backed petition against Article 35A is as a threat to J&K's Muslim identity
The Constituent Assembly which began its work on 31 October, 1951 decided that laws passed by the Parliament of India can be applied to J&K only after consultation with the state government.
J&K, unlike other states, has its own Constitution. It maps out the extent of its executive and legislative powers and its relationship with the Union of India.
The Division Bench headed by Justice Hasnain Masoodi and Justice Janak Raj Kotwal further observed: "Jammu and Kashmir while acceding to Dominion of India, retained limited sovereignty and did not merge like other princely states that signed the Instrument of Accession".
Soon after the order, the Union ministry of home affairs sought a report from the J&K government in addition to a copy of the High Court order.
Unless there is a legal challenge, the High Court order has pre-empted the ongoing attempts to repeal or dilute Article 370.
The petition against Article 35A
One such attempt is a petition against Article 35A filed in the Supreme Court by an RSS-linked think tank called J&K Study Group.
Article 35A which was extended to the state through a 1954 Presidential Order gives protection to the state subject laws in J&K. Under these laws, outsiders are not allowed to acquire property in the state.
The petition terms this provision as "unconstitutional" since it was added by a Presidential Order and not through Parliament.
For RSS-affiliated groups, the primary bone of contention is Article 35A and not Article 370.
Many of them believe that the only way to resolve Kashmir issue is through a sweeping demographic change in the state.
"Article 35A enables the state Assembly of J&K to define 'permanent residents' and give them special privileges. The ambit of permanent residents was deliberately kept narrow to exclude several communities...This distinction was arbitrary and archaic," said Aniruddha Rajput, counsel for the petitioner.
However, many lawyers point out that the Supreme Court has consistently dismissed petitions questioning Article 370 and its provisions.
According to Zafar Shah "A successful challenge to Article 35A will have far-reaching political and legal consequences. Politically it will be seen as an assault on the Muslim identity of J&K. And legally, if Article 35A goes, so will all the Presidential orders from 1954 to 1975 that diluted J&K's special status ".
Political impact
The order on Article 370 and the petition against Article 35A have charged the political atmosphere in the state.
On 11 October, Kashmir Centre for Social and Development Studies held a roundtable conference that was attended by senior lawyers. The group called for a "people's movement" to defend Article 35A.
"If Article 35 A goes, permanent residents will no longer have protection on matters like employment and acquisition of property," said Zafar Shah, a noted Kashmiri lawyer.
According to a lawyer, J&K governments in the past have made far-reaching changes to Article 370
There is broad agreement among lawyers on the validity of the High Court order on Article 370.
According to advocate Syed Riyaz Khawar: "In my opinion even if the Constituent Assembly ceased to exist, the Legislative Assembly got vested with its powers. So if the Assembly recommends abrogation of Article 370 with a two-thirds majority, it should be legally valid."
Constituent Assembly versus Legislative Assembly
According to Khawar, J&K governments in the past have made far-reaching changes to Article 370. For instance, the GM Sadiq government got an amendment passed in the Assembly, changing the nomenclature of the head of state from Sadar-i-Riyasat (President) to Governor and for the head of government from Prime Minister to Chief Minister.
Under Sadiq, the provisions of Articles 356 and 357 of the Indian Constitution became applicable to J&K. This gave the Centre the right to impose President's Rule in J&K.
Mian Qayoom, the president of High Court Bar Association, disagrees. "It is written in Article 370 itself that only a Constituent Assembly can recommend its abrogation. There is no mention of a Legislative Assembly. Since the Constituent Assembly has been dissolved, Article 370 has become permanent"


Friday, 16 October 2015

High Court judgements - A significant development

High Court judgements - A significant development
The two rulings read and looked at together in their totality make it clear that JK State constitutionally has a position of its own,
In a significant development last week JK State High Court adjudicated on Article 370. Though the judgement is 370 specific, it could affect judicial verdicts on a wide range of articles applicable to JK State, including the all important Article 35 A. Divisional bench of State High Court, including Justice Hasnain Massodi and Justice Janak Raj Kotwal ruled on several articles affecting article 370. The judgment is wide ranging, we may, however, focus on a part of it that could affect Article 35 A. The said article is facing the onslaught of Sangh Parivar, a unit of which has made an appeal to Supreme Court praying for ruling on Article 35 A. It is pleaded in the petition that Article 35 A has not passed through a parliamentary process, hence its application may not be constitutionally valid. The judgment of State High Court on Article 370 and earlier on ‘Securitization and Reconstruction of Financial Assets and Enforcement of Security Interest (SARFAESI) Act’ could have a bearing on how the honourable courts view Article 35 A.
Justices Hasnain Massodi and Justice Janak Raj Kotwal ruled that,  'President under Article 370 (1) is conferred with power to extend any provision of the Constitution to the State with such “exceptions and modifications” as he may deem fit subject to consultation or concurrence with the State Government'. The stress is on President having such a power in consultation or concurrence with the State Government. The judicial verdict bypasses a parliamentary process, while as in the plea to Supreme Court vis-à-vis Article 35 A, the stress is on the parliamentary process. The divisional bench of JK State High Court on powers of President in consultation with JK State government further ruled that,  “And such power would include one to amend or alter the provision to be applied, delete or omit part of it, or make additions to the provisions proposed to be applied to the State. Such power would extend even in case of provisions of the Constitution already applied,”. The power thus is restricted to the President in consultation and concurrence of JK Government. The plea in Supreme Court praying for a parliamentary process may not hold, given the significant High Court verdict. 
            The High Court verdict further ruled on Article 368 Clause (2) that concerns the parliamentary process in amendment of constitutional provisions, ''In the circumstances'' the court held, ''additions made to the existing Constitutional provisions through various Constitution (Application to Jammu and Kashmir) orders on their application to the State like Proviso to Clause (2) Article 368, fall within four corners of Article 370(1)''. While adjudicating on Clause (2) Article 368, honourable High Court has ruled that in their application to the State like Proviso to Clause (2) Article 368, fall within four corners of Article 370(1). We may first look at what does Clause (2) Article 368 hold, it says, 'Any amendment of this Constitution may be initiated only by the introduction of a Bill for the purpose in either House of Parliament, and when the Bill is passed in each House by a majority of the total membership of that House present and voting, it shall be presented to the President who shall give his assent to the Bill and thereupon the Constitution shall stand amended in accordance with the terms of the Bill'. This falls within the parliamentary process, while as Clause (1) Article 370 remains limited to Presidential order with the consultation and concurrence of JK State Government. 
We may now look at the JK High Court ruling on ‘Securitization and Reconstruction of Financial Assets and Enforcement of Security Interest (SARFAESI) Act’ enacted by Parliament in 2002 on which another division bench including Justice Muzafar Hussain Attar and Justice Ali Muhammad Magrey provided the ruling, earlier in this year. Honourable Court ruled that 'SARFAESI) Act’ cannot be applicable to Jammu and Kashmir owing to its own constitutional position. The landmark judgment followed barely days after Jammu Kashmir Study Center (JKSC) close to RSS proposed to take call on Article 35 (A) pleading that it was incorporated through a Presidential Order on May, the 14th 1954 bypassing Parliament. High Court judgment cites Constitution of India and holds, ‘’Article 35 (A) which has been applied to State of J&K, clarifies the already existing constitutional and legal position and does not extend something new to state’’. Thus it clearly implies that the relationship stands already defined as per provisions of Article 370. Article 35 (A) re-enforces it. Honourable High Court further holds, ‘’the provision clears the constitutional relationship between the people of rest of country with people of J&K. The citizens of State of Jammu and Kashmir have their own constitution and their sovereign character which cannot be challenged, altered or abridged’’. 
The two rulings read and looked at together in their totality make it clear that JK State constitutionally has a position of its own, which cannot be 'challenged, altered or abridged' as per the JK High Court verdict. The judgment on Article 370 is causing political ripples. It is reported that Home Ministry in Delhi has asked for a copy of the ruling, which adjudicated on sovereignty, which exists in case of JK State albeit in a limited manner. This makes the judgment a significant development.
Yaar Zinda, Sohbat Baqi [Reunion is subordinate to survival]
http://www.greaterkashmir.com/news/opinion/story/199108.html


Azad Kashmir - Free In Name Only

Azad Kashmir - Free In Name Only
October 14th, 2015. \\ World. \\ Tags: KashmirIndiaPakistanChina.
This year, on October 22nd, the ongoing conflict in Kashmir will have been running for 68 years. It is a conflict that has claimed many thousands of lives, that has seen some of the worst of human rights abuses, and which threatens to bring India and Pakistan - both nuclear powers - to war for a fourth time.
Following the end of British rule in 1947, the state of Pakistan was created alongside India. States were allowed to choose whether to join India, Pakistan, or to remain independent. Whilst Hari Singh, the Maharaja of Kashmir, favoured independence, Pakistan had anticipated the annexation of Kashmir to it’s own territory. Due largely to the procrastination of the Maharaja, a Hindu, events spiralled out of control, and Muslims in the state revolted. Local militias and Pakistani forces attempted to occupy the city of Srinagar, but were checked at Uri, in the west of Jammu Kashmir. The Maharaja turned to India for military assistance, prompting intervention by Pakistan, and the first conflict between the two nations began.
The war continued until 1948, when India sought help from the United Nations. The result was UN Security Council Resolution 47 (21 Sept 1948), which called for a withdrawal of troops, and for a plebiscite, or referendum, whereby the Kashmiri people could decide their own future. Pakistan failed to withdraw it’s troops, the plebiscite never happened, and the conflict between what is now a divided nation, occupied by Indian and Pakistani troops, and partially administered by China, which does not accept that the region of Aksai Chin is a part of Kashmir at all, rages on.
Whilst in simplistic terms the ongoing dispute and resultant conflicts may by seen as the continuation of the disagreements that followed independence, the dynamics driving the matter may have changed. There may now be both political and commercial factors standing in the way of a resolution. Kashmir, and its abundant natural resources, appear to be up for sale, and it is not the Kashmiris themselves who are doing the selling.
China has committed the substantial sum of $ 45 billion towards what is know as the China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). This corridor, which will connect China’s north-western region of Xinjiang to the Pakistani port of Gwadar, will develop transport, communications, and energy infrastructure in Pakistan. It is also intended to improve intelligence sharing between the two countries, who are becoming ever closer. CPEC will be a huge strategic asset to China, and it represents the country’s largest ever such overseas investment.
CPEC will run directly through Azad Kashmir, which is controlled by Pakistan.
A close look at the individual projects that comprise the project show an emphasis on water infrastructure. China is facing an impending water shortage crisis. It has a agricultural sector that consumes very high quantities of water - rice and cotton especially - its growing energy requirements require water and it has a huge and growing population. The aquifers are drying up, and China must soon take its water from somewhere else. Kashmir has water in abundance, and a relatively small population.
The Neelum-Jhelum Dam, currently under construction 40 km north of Muzaffarabad, the capital of Azad Kashmir, is being built by a Chinese consortium, and is due to be completed in 2016. Much of the work on this, and other projects in Azad Kashmir, is being undertaken by the Construction Corps of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA).
Azad Kashmir is also rich in valuable minerals, such as Gipsum, Lemonite, Mica, Marble, Ruby, Turmaline, Bentonite, Yello Ocher, Pyrites, Limestone and Dolomite. It has an abundance of wildlife that can rarely be found elsewhere. Many of its native species are endangered.
Central to CPEC is the existing Karakoram Highway, which is currently being widened from 10 metres to 30 metres, enabling it move heavy, and possibly military vehicles from China to Gwadar Port, situated on the Arabian Sea in the Pakistani province of Balochistan, the capacity of which is also being significantly increased. PLA soldiers are reported to be stationed near to the Khunjerab Pass, on the Azad Kashmir side of the border, close to the Karakoram Highway. Chinese military officials are also, it is reported, to be found at Gilgit, the Pakistani military headquarters in the region. When questioned on the matter recently by the New York Times, Chinese officials did not deny the presence of elements of the PLA in Azad Kashmir.
“Although ‘azad’ means ‘free,’ the residents of Azad Kashmir are anything but, The Pakistani authorities govern Azad Kashmir with strict controls on basic freedoms.” - Brad Adams, Asia Director of Human Rights Watch (2006)
Speaking to EU Today, Jamil Maqsood, Foreign Affairs Secretary of the United Kashmir People’s National Party, said “In Islamabad, foreign policy is being taken over by the military, and China is increasingly influencing that policy”. He further told us “When it comes to our land and our resources, it is the Kashmiri people who are the stakeholders, but when these matters are discussed in Islamabad, or elsewhere, we are not even invited to the table”.
The US has also been subject to criticism for supporting the Pakistani economic exploitation of Kashmir. In October 2014, the government of India lodged a protest with the US government for supporting infrastructure projects in the region. Earlier that month, in Washington DC, US special representative for Afghanistan-Pakistan Dan Feldman, US ambassador to Pakistan Richard Olson, along with other key officials had attended a conference organised to raise investment funding for construction of the Diamer-Bhasha Dam.
Both China and Pakistan will benefit strategically from the situation that we now see developing. In a few years time, Islamabad will effectively own Azad Kasmir with the political, economic, and military backing of China.
And so now it would appear that the long suffering people of Kashmir, for nearly seven decades pawns in a violent political struggle, now face a new threat: economic colonialism. They, their land, their natural resources, and their cheap labour are all now seen as little more than investment opportunities. 


China’s ‘New Silk Road’ Vision Revealed, by Shannon Tiezzi

China’s ‘New Silk Road’ Vision Revealed, by Shannon Tiezzi 09 May 2014
A new series in Xinhua offers the clearest vision yet of China’s ambitious “New Silk Road.” On Thursday, China’s state-owned Xinhua News Agency unveiled an ongoing feature entitled “New Silk Road, New Dreams.” The series promises to “dig up the historical and cultural meaning of the Silk Road, and spread awareness of China’s friendly policies towards neighboring countries.” The first article [Chinese] was titled “How Can the World Be Win-Win? China Is Answering the Question.”

The Xinhua series promises the clearest look so far at China’s vision for its Silk Road Economic Belt as well as the Maritime Silk Road. One of the most intriguing pieces released Thursday was a map showing China’s ambitious visions for the “New Silk Road” and “New Maritime Silk Road.” It’s the clearest vision to date of the scope of China’s Silk Road plan.
Xinhua Silk Road MapAccording to the map, the land-based “New Silk Road” will begin in Xi’an in central China before stretching west through Lanzhou (Gansu province), Urumqi (Xinjiang), and Khorgas (Xinjiang), which is near the border with Kazakhstan. The Silk Road then runs southwest from Central Asia to northern Iran before swinging west through Iraq, Syria, and Turkey. From Istanbul, the Silk Road crosses the Bosporus Strait and heads northwest through Europe, including Bulgaria, Romania, the Czech Republic, and Germany. Reaching Duisburg in Germany, it swings north to Rotterdam in the Netherlands. From Rotterdam, the path runs south to Venice, Italy — where it meets up with the equally ambitious Maritime Silk Road.
The Maritime Silk Road will begin in Quanzhou in Fujian province, and also hit Guangzhou (Guangdong pronvince), Beihai (Guangxi), and Haikou (Hainan) before heading south to the Malacca Strait. From Kuala Lumpur, the Maritime Silk Road heads to Kolkata, India then crosses the rest of the Indian Ocean to Nairobi, Kenya (the Xinhua map does not include a stop in Sri Lanka, despite indications in February that the island country would be a part of the Maritime Silk Road). From Nairobi, the Maritime Silk Road goes north around the Horn of Africa and moves through the Red Sea into the Mediterranean, with a stop in Athens before meeting the land-based Silk Road in Venice.
The maps of the two Silk Roads drive home the enormous scale of the project: the Silk Road and Maritime Silk Road combined will create a massive loop linking three continents. If any single image conveys China’s ambitions to reclaim its place as the “Middle Kingdom,” linked to the world by trade and cultural exchanges, the Xinhua map is it. Even the name of the project, the Silk Road, is inextricably linked to China’s past as a source of goods and information for the rest of the world.
China’s economic vision is no less expansive than the geographic vision. According to the Xinhua article, the Silk Road will bring “new opportunities and a new future to China and every country along the road that is seeking to develop.” The article envisions an “economic cooperation area” that stretches from the Western Pacific to the Baltic Sea.
Despite this expansive goal, it’s not quite clear yet exactly what will tie together the disparate countries along the New Silk Road (both on land and at sea). China has discussed building up infrastructure (especially railways and ports) along the route, yet the Xinhua article specifically says the vision includes more than simply speedy transportation. China envisions a trade network where “goods are more abundant and trade is more high-end.” Beijing expects the economic contact along the Silk Roads to boost productivity in each country. As part of this vision, China has repeatedly stressed its economic compatibility with many of the countries along the planned route, and offered technological assistance to countries in key industries.
China also envisions the Silk Road as a region of “more capital convergence and currency integration” — in other words, a region where currency exchanges are fluid and easy. Xinhua notes that China’s currency, the renminbi, is becoming more widely used in Mongolia, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Vietnam, and Thailand. Yet the article does not call for the renminbi to become the Silk Road’s primary currency, but rather hopes that local currencies will be the dominant means of economic deals.
From economic exchanges, China hopes to gain closer cultural and political ties with each of the countries along the Silk Road — resulting in a new model of “mutual respect and mutual trust.” The Silk Road creates not just an economic trade route, but a community with “common interests, fate, and responsibilities.” The Silk Road represents China’s visions for an interdependent economic and political community stretching from East Asia to Western Europe, and it’s clear that China believes its principles will be the guiding force in this new community. “China’s wisdom for building an open world economy and open international relations is being drawn on more and more each day,” Xinhua wrote.
But for all the ambitious talk, details remain scarce on how this vision will be implemented. Will the land- and sea-based Silk Roads be limited to a string of bilateral agreements between China and individual countries, or between China and regional groups like the European Union and ASEAN? Is there a grander vision, such as a regional free trade zone incorporating all the Silk Road countries?  Or will China be the tie that binds it all together, with no special agreements directly linking, say, Kazakhstan and Germany?  http://thediplomat.com/2014/05/chinas-new-silk-road-vision-revealed/




US Exploring Deal to Limit Pakistan’s Nuclear Arsenal, By DAVID E. SANGER

US Exploring Deal to Limit Pakistan’s Nuclear Arsenal
By DAVID E. SANGER  OCT. 15, 2015
WASHINGTON — The Obama administration is exploring a deal withPakistan that would limit the scope of Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal, the fastest-growing on Earth. The talks are the first in the decade since one of the founders of its nuclear programAbdul Qadeer Khan, was caught selling the country’s nuclear technology around the world.
The talks are being held in advance of the arrival of Pakistan’s prime minister, Nawaz Sharif, in Washington next week. They focus on American concern that Pakistan might be on the verge of deploying a small tactical nuclear weapon — explicitly modeled on weapons the United States put in Europe during the Cold War to deter a Soviet invasion — that would be far harder to secure than the country’s arsenal of larger weapons.

But outside experts familiar with the discussions, which have echoes of the Obama administration’s first approaches to Iran on its nuclear programthree years ago, expressed deep skepticism that Pakistan is ready to put limits on a program that is the pride of the nation, and that it regards as its only real defense against India.
The discussions are being led by Peter R. Lavoy, a longtime intelligence expert on the Pakistani program who is now on the staff of the National Security Council. At the White House on Thursday, Josh Earnest, the press secretary, was asked about the talks and broke from the administration’s previous position of refusing to comment.
“A deal like the one that’s been discussed publicly is not something that’s likely to come to fruition next week,” he said. “But the United States and Pakistan are regularly engaged in a dialogue about the importance of nuclear security. And I would anticipate that that dialogue would include conversations between the leaders of our two countries.”
The central element of the proposal, according to other officials and outside experts, would be a relaxation of strict controls put on Pakistan by the Nuclear Suppliers Group, a loose affiliation of nations that tries to control the proliferation of weapons.
“If Pakistan would take the actions requested by the United States, it would essentially amount to recognition of rehabilitation and would essentially amount to parole,” said George Perkovich, vice president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, who has maintained contacts with the Pakistani nuclear establishment.
“I think it’s worth a try,” Mr. Perkovich said. “But I have my doubts that the Pakistanis are capable of doing this.”
David Ignatius, a columnist for The Washington Post, first disclosed the exploratory talks in a column a week ago. Since then, several other officials and outside experts have talked in more detail about the effort, although the White House has refused to comment.
The activity of Mr. Khan, who lives in retirement in a comfortable neighborhood in Islamabad after many years of house arrest, prompted more than a decade of American-led punishment of Pakistan’s nuclear enterprises. He ran what amounted to the world’s most sophisticated black market in the equipment needed to make nuclear fuel, and he did business with Iran, North Korea and Libya.
When Libya turned over the equipment it bought, in late 2003, it included a nearly complete design for one of China’s first nuclear weapons.
Pakistani officials denied that any of the country’s leaders knew of Mr. Khan’s black market activities, a story American officials did not believe because some of the equipment was shipped on Pakistani Air Force cargo planes. While Mr. Khan is not under formal restrictions today, he has not left Pakistan in years and has been prohibited from talking to most outsiders.
Even before entering office, President Obama was interested in addressing the Pakistani nuclear problem, considered by most proliferation experts to be the most dangerous in the world. But until now, most efforts to manage the problem have been covert.
During the Bush administration, the United States spent as much as $100 million on a highly classified program to help secure the country’s nuclear arsenal, helping with physical security and the training of Pakistani security personnel. Those efforts continued in the Obama years, with State Department, Energy Department and intelligence officials meeting secretly, in locales around the world, with senior Pakistani officials from the Strategic Plans Division, which controls the arsenal.
They used those sessions to argue to the Pakistanis that fielding the small, short-range nuclear weapons, which Pakistan designed to use against an invading Indian ground force, would be highly risky.
American officials have told Congress they are increasingly convinced that most of Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal is under good safeguards, with warheads separated from delivery vehicles and a series of measures in place to guard against unauthorized use. But they fear the smaller weapons are easier to steal, or would be easier to use should they fall into the hands of a rogue commander.
“All it takes is one commander with secret radical sympathies, and you have a big problem,” said one former official who dealt with the issue.
The message appears to have resonated; an unknown number of the tactical weapons were built, but not deployed. It is that problem that Mr. Lavoy and others are trying to forestall, along with preventing Pakistan from deploying some long-range missiles that could reach well beyond India.
But American leverage has been hard to find. Unlike Iran, Pakistan never signed the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty, the international agreement that prohibits nations, except for existing declared nuclear states like the United States, from possessing a nuclear arsenal. Pakistan is not alone in that distinction: India and Israel also have not signed.
(North Korea has twice declared that it has withdrawn from the treaty, in 1993 and 2003.)
Ordinarily, any country’s refusal to sign the treaty would preclude American nuclear cooperation. So Pakistani officials remain angry with the American decision to enter an agreement with India in 2005 allowing India to buy civil nuclear technology, even though it remains outside the treaty and put no limits on its nuclear program.
Under that agreement, India’s nuclear infrastructure was split with a civilian program that is under international inspection, and a military program that is not.
Pakistani officials have demanded the same arrangement.
That does not appear to be on the table. Instead, the United States is exploring ways to relax restrictions on nuclear-related technology to Pakistan, perhaps with a long-term goal of allowing the country to join the Nuclear Suppliers Group, which regulates the sale of the technology. That would be largely symbolic: Pakistan manages to import or make what it needs for its nuclear arsenal, and China has already broken ground on a $9.6 billion nuclear power complex in Karachi. Mr. Sharif presided over the ceremony.
William J. Broad contributed reporting from New York, and Julie Hirschfeld Davis from Washington.


Thursday, 1 October 2015

Give up terrorism and then let’s talk: Sushma to Pakistan

Give up terrorism and then let’s talk: Sushma to Pakistan
India on Thursday countered Pakistan Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif’s four-point peace initiative with a one-point offer. “We don’t need four points, just one — give up terrorism and let’s sit down and talk,” external affairs minister Sushma Swaraj said in an address to the UN general assembly.
In his UN speech on Wednesday, Sharif had proposed a four-point initiative: demilitarization of Kashmir, ceasefire along the Line of Control, affirmation to not use force and withdrawal from Siachen.
Reaction from India was sharp and swift. It rubbished elements of the initiative and attempts by Sharif to portray Pakistan as a victim of terrorism, and blame India for its troubles.
Swaraj rejected his initiative in toto, saying there was just one issue that needed to be taken care of. “Talks and terror cannot go together,” she said, adding that this was what was discussed and decided by Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Sharif in Ufa, Russia, in July.
The national security advisers of the two countries can meet and discuss all issues connected to terrorism and the directors general of military operations can meet to tackle the border situation, she said.
“If the response is serious and credible,” the minister said, “India is prepared to address all outstanding issues (which includes Kashmir in diplomacy-speak) through a bilateral dialogue.”
“None of us can accept that terrorism is a legitimate instrument of statecraft,” she said, drawing attention to India’s frustration with continued cross-border terrorism despite assurances.
She said these attacks are “meant to destabilize India and legitimize Pakistan’s illegal occupation of parts of the Indian state of Jammu and Kashmir”.
The mastermind of the Mumbai 2008 attacks walks free, she said, calling it an “affront to the entire international community”.
In an earlier response to Sharif’s offer, foreign ministry spokesperson Vikas Swarup tweeted, “To demilitarize Kashmir is not the answer, to de-terrorize Pakistan is.”
On Sharif’s claim that Pakistan was a victim of terrorism, India said in a right-to-reply statement in the UN, “In truth, it is actually a victim of its own policies of breeding and sponsoring terrorists.”
“Pak PM gets foreign occupation right, occupier wrong,” Swarup said about Sharif’s charge of “foreign occupation” in Kashmir. “We urge early vacation of Pak-occupied Kashmir”.
Relations between the neighbours have plummeted in recent days and weeks amid tension and firing along the border and cancellation of high-level talks. Both have withdrawn into their respective corners, saying it’s for the other side to make the next move; a long way from the optimism following talks in Ufa. Also, the August 24 NSA-level talks between Sartaj Aziz and his Indian counterpart Ajit Doval were cancelled after Pakistani high commissioner Abdul Basit invited Kashmiri separatists to a tea reception.
In his speech, Sharif had sought to portray Pakistan, and himself, as more keen on peace than India. He had said after taking office in June 2013 that normalization of ties was one of his first priorities.
He had reached out to the Indian leadership, he said, yet “today ceasefire violations along the LoC and working boundary are intensifying, causing civilian deaths”.
“Wisdom dictates our immediate neighbour refrain from fomenting instability in Pakistan,” he said, concluding his attempt to take the moral high ground.
India’s response was sharp and unsparing. “Pakistan’s instability arises from its breeding of terrorists. Blaming neighbours is not a solution,” Swarup said.
Harping on Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s demand for the expansion of the UN security council, Swaraj said “if security, development and international peace is to be maintained, then security council needs to be reformed”.
“We have to include more developing nations in the decision making structures of the security council,” Swaraj said.