PDPs separation warning
means either India takes PoK or Pakistan will take Kashmir
Sub- (i)- This time war will not be for religion but for human
rights hence advantage Pakistan (ii)- Substantial local population
against any government is bad in war
--One of the mainstream political party the People’s Democratic
Party (PDP) of J&K on July, 28 warned of another partition of India if
lynching of Muslims over cow-smuggling allegations were not stopped forthwith,
as widely reported in electronic & print media of India also at - https://www.greaterkashmir.com/news/kashmir/pdp-leader-muzafar-baig-warns-of-another-partition-if-lynchings-not-stopped/291823.html
As usual due to militaristic approach India has shrugged-off
this warning of PDP but it will be blunder on the part of India because this
time danger is real and Pakistan may snatch Kashmir from India by force if
India does not wake-up and does not retrieve PoK, as mentioned below:-
(1)- Such warning from main stream party of J&K like PDP
about separation of Kashmir from India was due. After killing of Hizbul
Commander Burhan Wani in July 2016 by Indian Security forces, Pakistan started
smelling blood especially after widespread agitations and about 5 months long
‘Bandh’ (strike) in Kashmir over Burhan’s killing and injury by pellet guns
(including blinding) of demonstrators.
(2)- Hence Pakistan started preparations for snatching Kashmir
from India by force. As a part of the strategy to snatch Kashmir (after getting
so-called pro-India Nawaz out of the way with the help of pliant judiciary)
Pakistan military has already paved the way for its proxy Imran Khan as PM.
After winning election in his media address Imran has already termed Kashmir as
core issue and equated terrorism by Pakistan in Kashmir with alleged terrorism
by India in Baluchistan.
(3)- Notwithstanding PM Modi’s hollow claims (that his visits to
many Muslims countries especially of NAME region has made Muslim countries
friendly to India) the Pakistan could get 2018 UNHRC report (supported by UN
General Secretary) in its favor with the help (as alleged by India and its
media) of these Muslim countries. These Muslim countries also supply most of
petroleum oil to India ( Iran is already under US sanctions due to nuclear
issue hence there is US pressure on India to stop oil imports from
Iran). As supplier of crucial oil (especially during war) to India
these Muslim countries will obviously do everything to see Pakistan
winning war with India for protecting human rights of Muslim Kashmiris which
are being violated grossly as per UNHRC 2018 report which was
prepared (as alleged by India itself) on the lobbying of these Muslim
countries
(4)- In this UNHRC 2018 report India has been portrayed as
villain. In other words Pakistan has prepared a ground among global community
where (in the event of large human right violations in Kashmir in future which
Pakistan can always engineer through its proxies in Kashmir and now especially
given the situation where separatist’s friendly PDP has been thrown out of
government by Hindutva party BJP by withdrawing its support to PDP) any
military intervention by Pakistan for snatching Muslim Kashmir will be condoned
(as fait accompli) if not supported with gusto by world community (including by
powerful Christian West led by USA which always wants to be seen on the right
side of human rights all across the world)
(5)- Indians are under the delusion that Pakistan can never dare
to attack India militarily because India is militarily too powerful as compared
to Pakistan. But naïve India is not trying to understand that large Indian
military in Kashmir will not be able to avoid separation of Kashmir. In this
age of human rights friendly world, nuclear Pakistan need not get clear
military victory over nuclear India to snatch Kashmir. Merely prolonged
military engagement (even low pitch) coupled with gory violation of human
rights of Kashmiris during such low-pitch war (which Pakistan can always
engineer through its proxies) are enough to bring world community / UN to grant
(on the so-called wish of the Kashmiris) Kashmir to Pakistan. There is one
single road from Jammu to Kashmir through difficult mountainous terrain (which
will cause immense problem for India in providing prolonged military supply in
Kashmir valley which is surrounded by Pakistan and not so friendly China on
three sides). Also presence of separatists / terrorists especially in south
Kashmir will go a long way in helping Pakistan in many ways including morally
and in blocking India’s only military supply line to Kashmir.
(6)- During this Indo-Pak war China will be an important &
deciding factor. China (for whom Pakistan is an important ally due to CPEC)
will of-course supply military equipments etc to Pakistan to any extent. As far
fighters Pakistan has enough if we take Jihadi trained fighters also in
reckoning, which Pakistan will get in any number (in the name of protecting
human rights of Muslim Kashmiris against infidel Hindus) to match the numbers
of Indian military. But if China decides to rake-up Doklam in order to snatch
all or part of Arunachal Pradesh (which China claims its own) if not to cut-off
entire North-East through chicken neck, then it will be different
catastrophe for India. [in the matter of N-E the response of Bangladesh (on
other side of Chicken-neck) will also be crucial especially in view of NCR
(National citizen Register in Assam) which is bound to create serious tension
between India and Bangladesh and which may even bring another Imran Khan in
Bangladesh]
(7)- India can avoid separation of Kashmir if
retrieves PoK militarily which may result even in federation of Indo – Pak or
even SAARC because world community will not allow full-fledged war between
nuclear India and nuclear Pakistan. The Muslims from rest of India will be
worst sufferers of separation of Kashmir from India because many Hindus still
complained that why after partition Muslims were not asked to go to Muslim
Pakistan and Bangladesh (then East Pakistan). After separation of Kashmir it
will be almost impossible for anyone to stop India from becoming practically
(if not constitutionally) a theocratic State the ‘Hindu Rashtra’ in which what
will be the fate of Indian Muslims is any body’s guess.
Hence Indians (especially Indian Muslims) who do not want
separation of Kashmir from India (also in the interest of survival of
secularism in India) should demand vehemently and vociferously from government
of India that PoK should be retrieved (even militarily if necessary) without
any further delay.
Regards
Hem Raj Jain (Author of ‘Betrayal of Americanism’)
Shakopee, Minnesota, USA..
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